The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oita Trinita 31.1%
Draw 34.1%
Tokushima Vortis 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
31.3%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
30.6%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oita Trinita's form might have worsened.
Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oita Trinita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
60%
0%
Oita Trinita - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Tokushima (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokushima (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Hamada T. (G) 18. Nodake J. 31. Matheus Pereira 3. Derlan 39. Udo S. 38. Amagasa T. 29. Utsumoto S. 25. Sakakibara K. 10. Nomura N. 9. Arima K. 13. Isa K.
1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 4. Kaique 18. Elsinho 28. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 7. Kodama S. 10. Sugimoto T. 16. Watari D. 99. Lucas Barcelos
Substitutes
21. Ayukawa S. 14. Ikeda R. 33. Miyakawa A. 22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 4. Satsukawa A. 30. Tone I. 15. Yashiki Y. 44. Yoshida M.
14. Hyon R. 19. Joao Victor 21. Nagai K. (G) 11. Sugimori K. 24. Takada S. 2. Tamukai T. 25. Yamashita Y. 22. Yanagisawa K.
Coaches
Katanosaka T.
Masuda K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Lucas Barcelos ⚽, Elsinho (A),
21', Watari D. 🟨,
33', Nomura N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Udo S. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
46', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
64', Isa K. ↓, Yashiki Y. ↑,
64', Watari D. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Utsumoto S. ⚽,
69', Joao Victor 🟨,
71', Derlan 🟨,
77', Joao Victor ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
77', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
83', Sugimori K. 🟨,
84', Utsumoto S. ↓, Satsukawa A. ↑,
84', Nomura N. ↓, Kimoto T. ↑,
87', Elsinho ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
90+1', Arima K. ↓, Ayukawa S. ↑,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 1.
Recent matches Oita Trinita is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tokushima is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Oita Trinita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Tokushima have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:22 (average 0.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Tokushima Vortis - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.82%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Hamada T. (G) 
Matheus Pereira 
Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 
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