Match Info

J2 League - Round 7

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.75	3.05	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.03	2.6	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.75	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3)	3.05 ↓ (3.16)	2.52 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
33.4%

Draw
30.1%

Omiya Ardija
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.2%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28.8%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Tokushima Vortis - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 5. Aoki H. 18. Elsinho 7. Kodama S. 28. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 55. Shigehiro T. 10. Sugimoto T. 16. Watari D.	1. Kasahara T. (G) 55. Gabriel 4. Ichihara R. 20. Shimoguchi W. 22. Motegi R. 15. Nakayama K. 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 10. Toyokawa Y. 23. Sugimoto K. 42. Fujii K.
Substitutes
27. Izuchukwu L. 4. Kaique 99. Lucas Barcelos 21. Nagai K. (G) 11. Sugimori K. 24. Takada S. 2. Tamukai T. 30. Tsuboi K. 25. Yamashita Y.	29. Caprini 6. Ishikawa T. 9. Isozaki M. 21. Kato Y. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 90. Sunday O. 5. Urakami N. 41. Yachida T. 16. Yasumitsu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Kanuma N. ⚽, Watari D. (A),
64', Fujii K. ↓, Sunday O. ↑,
64', Nakayama K. ↓, Yachida T. ↑,
64', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Caprini ↑,
71', Watari D. ↓, Lucas Barcelos ↑,
71', Shimoguchi W. ↓, Yasumitsu S. ↑,
75', Takagi Y. 🟨,
77', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
83', Sugimoto K. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
84', Aoki H. 🟨,
84', Aoki H. ↓, Kaique ↑,
84', Sugimoto T. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
84', Elsinho ↓, Tamukai T. ↑,
90+8', Takada S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 4.

Recent matches Tokushima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Omiya is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Omiya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:12 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Iwaki - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Tokushima Vortis - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTTW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	4:3 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Omiya Ardija - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Sagan Tosu - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Omiya Ardija - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.09.23	Tokushima Vortis - Omiya Ardija	0:1
07.05.23	Omiya Ardija - Tokushima Vortis	1:3
16.10.22	Tokushima Vortis - Omiya Ardija	3:1
19.03.22	Omiya Ardija - Tokushima Vortis	0:2
16.12.20	Tokushima Vortis - Omiya Ardija	1:0
23.09.20	Omiya Ardija - Tokushima Vortis	1:2
19.10.19	Omiya Ardija - Tokushima Vortis	2:3

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