Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)

Referee: Sulikanov S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Okzhetpes		Kaisar

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.45	4.05
	2.26	3.2	3.26
	1.83	3.45	4	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.25
	1.87	3.59	4.01	Watch
	1.8	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.76)	3.32 ↓ (3.67)	3.73 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
47.4%

Draw
27.8%

Kaisar
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.3%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okzhetpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Okzhetpes - Kaisar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 14. Mukanov S. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 8. Buribaev N. 17. Nurymbet A. 47. Vasiljev V. 19. Omirtaev O. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. (C)	1. Salaydin N. (C) 93. Askarov S. 15. Idrisov N. 51. Mokhammad A. 7. Tazhibay B. 8. Abiken A. 24. Cuckic N. 23. Zhumat M. 70. Ezekiel I. 96. Mukhammed A. 11. Moses V.
Substitutes
91. Abdumannonov B. 67. Atykhanov R. 9. Borodin D. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 12. Shaimurat E. (G) 16. Shamshi B. 77. Sovpel V. 44. Trubitsyn D. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 4. Zyabko V.	16. Azhikhan A. (G) 14. Jones T. 6. Kaldybekov E. 40. Kovac A. (G) 42. Miqueias 18. Rustemuly D. 21. Serikuly D. 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S.
Coaches
Alyuetov R.	Ferapontov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Salaydin N. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Cuckic N. ⚽,
33', Abiken A. ↓, Kaldybekov E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Moses V. ↓, Jones T. ↑,
58', Buribaev N. 🟨,
67', Ezekiel I. ↓, Miqueias ↑,
70', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
70', Zhumat M. ↓, Zhumabekov S. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Vasiljev V. ⚽,
90+4', Tazhibay B. 🟨,
90+6', Idrisov N. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 2.

Okzhetpes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Kaisar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Okzhetpes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
18.04.26	Ordabasy - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Okzhetpes - Ertis Pavlodar	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
09.04.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.26	Zhenis - Okzhetpes	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWTW
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
19.04.26	Kaisar - Altai Semey	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atyrau - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.04.26	Talas Karatau - Kaisar	0:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.04.26	Kaisar - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Ordabasy - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
06.07.25	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	4:2
29.03.25	Kaisar - Okzhetpes	2:2
01.07.23	Kaisar - Okzhetpes	0:1
25.06.23	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	0:1
Kazakh First League
03.09.22	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	1:1
22.05.22	Kaisar - Okzhetpes	3:2
Kazakh Premier League
02.10.20	Kaisar - Okzhetpes	0:0

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