Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)

Referee: Tevyashov D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Okzhetpes		Ertis Pavlodar

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3.6
	1.88	3.83	3.41	Watch
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.09	3.55	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.31)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	3.37 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
45.2%

Draw
27.3%

Ertis Pavlodar
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Okzhetpes's performance.

Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Okzhetpes - Ertis Pavlodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Okzhetpes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 14. Mukanov S. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 9. Borodin D. 17. Nurymbet A. 47. Vasiljev V. 19. Omirtaev O. (C) 8. Buribaev N.	16. Botnar V. (G) 27. Nechaev D. 26. Mbodj M. 33. Ibrahim F. 22. Stephen G. 6. Shimamura Y. 8. Zharynbetov S. (C) 7. Klimovich V. 97. Poe J. 18. Shvyrev V. 98. Sedko P.
Substitutes
67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 10. Nurgaliyev E. 12. Shaimurat E. (G) 16. Shamshi B. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. 4. Zyabko V.	10. Agimanov T. 13. Baybosynov N. 21. Buranchiev A. 12. Karimov R. 4. Khadarkevich R. 9. Omatay M. 19. Popov A. 1. Rikhard M. (G) 5. Toleuov B. 17. Turlybek M.
Coaches
Alyuetov R.	Alshevskiy K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Borodin D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Vasiljev V. 🟨,
51', Shimamura Y. 🟨,
55', Lototskyi B. 🟨,
60', Mukanov S. ↓, Abdumannonov B. ↑,
60', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
62', Shimamura Y. ↓, Buranchiev A. ↑,
62', Poe J. ↓, Agimanov T. ↑,
69', Klimovich V. ↓, Omatay M. ↑,
69', Sedko P. ↓, Baybosynov N. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Borodin D. ⚽,
78', Shvyrev V. ↓, Turlybek M. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Turlybek M. ⚽,
82', Omirtaev O. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
83', Kuzmichev I. 🟨,
83', Omatay M. 🟨,
86', Botnar V. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Buribaev N. ⚽,
90', Buribaev N. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
90+5', Zharynbetov S. 🟨,
90+11', Nurgaliyev E. 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 2.

Okzhetpes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Okzhetpes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
11	Ertis Pavlodar	25	6	8	11	26:34	-8	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Cup
09.04.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.26	Zhenis - Okzhetpes	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Okzhetpes - Yelimay Semey	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWWT
- Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Premier League
04.04.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Kyzylzhar - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
16.03.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
Kazakh First League
24.10.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
15.03.24	Ertis Pavlodar - Okzhetpes	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
21.09.19	Okzhetpes - Ertis Pavlodar	1:0
06.07.19	Ertis Pavlodar - Okzhetpes	2:1
27.04.19	Okzhetpes - Ertis Pavlodar	1:0
28.10.17	Okzhetpes - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2
03.06.17	Ertis Pavlodar - Okzhetpes	0:0
08.04.17	Okzhetpes - Ertis Pavlodar	0:2

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