Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)

Referee: Abdullaev B. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atyrau		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.20	2.70
	2.60	3.05	2.35	Watch
	2.33	3.4	2.83
	2.33	3.67	2.59	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.7
	2.36	3.67	2.68	Watch
	2.27	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.67)	3.34 ↑ (3.01)	2.66 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrau
38.6%

Draw
27.2%

Okzhetpes
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.6%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Atyrau - Okzhetpes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 99. Kereev B. 5. Satanov S. 71. Prce F. 17. Kalmuratov K. (C) 4. Rabiu M. 15. Ofori E. 44. Maksimovic D. 7. Henrique 90. Pantelic D. 14. Dorofeev K.	22. Lobantsev M. (G) 77. Sovpel V. 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 47. Vasiljev V. (C) 20. Ensebaev M. 9. Borodin D. 25. Marcinho 91. Abdumannonov B. 90. Sadovski U. (. 8. Buribaev N.
Substitutes
9. Abdulla A. 47. Abdumansur H. 27. Berdesh N. 21. Deputy D. 78. Khvalko E. 12. Sagat N. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 23. Shaykhov B. 8. Stanic M. 2. Tkachenko Y. 18. Trufanov Y. 25. Zhumagali S.	67. Atykhanov R. 12. Dovgal A. (G) 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 19. Omirtaev O. 16. Shamshi B. 17. Umarov S. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. 4. Zyabko V.
Coaches
Smakov S.	Alyuetov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kereev B. ↓, Tkachenko Y. ↑,
46', Ensebaev M. ↓, Omirtaev O. ↑,
60', Abdumannonov B. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
60', Sovpel V. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
60', Buribaev N. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
74', Henrique ↓, Stanic M. ↑,
74', Maksimovic D. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
76', Sadovski U. (. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Borodin D. ⚽, Vomenko V. (A),
84', Trufanov Y. 🟨,
85', Rabiu M. 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, Omirtaev O. ⚽, Vomenko V. (A),
89', Ofori E. ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
89', Pantelic D. ↓, Abdulla A. ↑,
90', Dorofeev K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 0.

Recent form of Atyrau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Okzhetpes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Okzhetpes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atyrau has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Last Results with these Odds

Atyrau - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.77%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
09.08.26	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Atyrau - Kairat	1:3 ✺
05.07.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLLL
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
09.08.26	Astana - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Okzhetpes - Altai Semey	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
09.05.26	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0
28.06.25	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:0
08.03.25	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	2:1
24.09.23	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0
02.04.23	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:4
29.09.19	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	2:2
30.06.19	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	3:0

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