The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kaisar 60.4%
Draw 23.8%
Shakhter Karagandy 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.3%
19.1%
9.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
8.9%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaisar's form might have worsened.
Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhter Karagandy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-27.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaisar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Kaisar - Shakhter Karagandy Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kaisar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Sicaci S. (G) 7. Altynbekov E. 17. Kalmuratov K. 25. Kobuladze G. 20. Milojko G. 10. Narzildaev D. 44. Pajovic J. 18. Pryndeta V. 6. Yudenkov R. 19. Zhaksylykov A. 73. Zhalmukan D.
40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 11. Abdulla A. 33. Adams L. 10. Ashortia I. 60. Campo F. 88. Canas R. 21. Ilic J. 17. Lisakovich D. 4. Ryzhuk D. 5. Stamenkovic F. 9. Tattybaev A.
Substitutes
9. Borodin D. 55. Hayrapetyan A. (G) 11. Kameni J. 5. Kenesbek A. 29. Makhan O. 50. Nurseitov T. 13. Sakhalbaev R. 34. Salaydin N. (G) 77. Sovpel V. 3. Tolegenov A. 79. Torekul E. 12. Zhangylyshbay T.
18. Altynkhan A. 95. Karpikov D. (G) 19. Kozlov E. 16. Kybyray Y. 76. Loshkarev V. (G) 68. Migunov A. 8. Nazymkhanov A. 6. Nikolic M. 23. Tutkyshev R. 44. Tyulyubay A. 27. Zubaydilda S.
Coaches
Kumykov V.
Emeljanov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Zhaksylykov A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Zhaksylykov A. ⚽,
45', Milojko G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 3 - 0, Zhaksylykov A. ⚽,
54', 4 - 0, Yudenkov R. ⚽,
58', Zhalmukan D. ↓, Sovpel V. ↑,
58', Altynbekov E. ↓, Kameni J. ↑,
60', Lisakovich D. ↓, Nazymkhanov A. ↑,
60', Abdulla A. ↓, Tyulyubay A. ↑,
64', Tyulyubay A. 🟨,
73', 5 - 0, Kameni J. ⚽,
75', Milojko G. ↓, Borodin D. ↑,
78', Ilic J. ↓, Altynkhan A. ↑,
78', Ashortia I. ↓, Kozlov E. ↑,
84', Pryndeta V. ↓, Makhan O. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Altynkhan A. ⚽,
90', Narzildaev D. 🟨,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kaisar won 1.
Kaisar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Shakhter Karagandy has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Kaisar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Kaisar is absolute favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kaisar won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:21 (average 1.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kaisar won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.8:0.9).
World
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Sicaci S. (G) 
Altynbekov E. 
Kobuladze G. 
Milojko G. 
Pryndeta V. 
Yudenkov R. 
Adams L. 
Campo F. 
Ilic J. 
Stamenkovic F. 
Hayrapetyan A. (G) 
Kameni J. 
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