Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Olbia		Renate

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.2
	3.7	2.6	2.2
	3.7	2.6	2.2
	3.4	3.05	2.05
	3.61	2.95	2.25
	3.4	2.88	2.3
	3.36	3	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.74)	2.85 ↓ (2.91)	2.2 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
26.2%

Draw
32.2%

Renate
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

31.1%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

25.3%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olbia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olbia - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B).

Recent matches Olbia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Renate in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Olbia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Renate will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Olbia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Olbia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
06.12.20	AlbinoLeffe - Olbia	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Olbia - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
25.11.20	Como - Olbia	2:2 ✺
22.11.20	Carrarese - Olbia	3:0 ✺
18.11.20	Olbia - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTLT
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
05.12.20	Renate - Giana Erminio	4:0 ✺
28.11.20	Pergolettese - Renate	0:2 ✺
21.11.20	Renate - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
15.11.20	Novara - Renate	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Carrarese - Renate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.20	Olbia - Renate	0:0
22.09.19	Renate - Olbia	2:0
23.12.16	Olbia - Renate	1:2
27.08.16	Renate - Olbia	2:1

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