Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Renate		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.63	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.64	5.97
	1.63	3.64	5.97
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.55	3.5	5.85
	1.6	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.83)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	5.63 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
57.5%

Draw
26.2%

Alessandria
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

28.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renate's performance.

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alessandria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Renate - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Fallani M. (G) 4. Possenti M. 5. Gasperi M. 13. Alcibiade R. 30. Tremolada M. 23. Currarino M. 80. Garetto M. 34. Auriletto S. 11. Rolando M. 95. Sorrentino D. 21. Amadio M.	1. Liverani L. (G) 23. Ciancio S. (C) 8. Rota A. 17. Gega E. 31. Ercolani L. 66. Sepe A. 28. Foresta G. 4. Nichetti M. 3. Rossi E. 9. Siafa O. 7. Gazoul M.
Substitutes
7. Anghileri M. 14. Baldassin L. 27. Ciarmoli L. 24. Ghibellini C. 31. Gobbo L. 17. Iacovo C. 9. Maletic M. 1. Ombra F. (G) 26. Pellegrino A. 10. Procaccio A. 77. Sartore F. 29. Ziu D.	11. Anatriello G. 5. Gentile F. 24. Mastalli A. 53. Molinaro 26. Ndir M. A. 21. Nunzella L. 18. Pellegrini L. 14. Pellitteri A. 15. Ronci A. 72. Vaughn C. 22. Virano R. (G)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Renate won 3.

Renate is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alessandria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Renate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Renate is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Renate won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Renate won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Triestina - Renate	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
03.11.23	Pro Sesto - Renate	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Renate - Novara	2:2 ✺
24.10.23	Padova - Renate	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Renate - Pro Patria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTTL
- Alessandria 1912
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Virtus Entella - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
04.11.23	Alessandria - Triestina	0:3 ✺
31.10.23	Alessandria - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Trento - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Alessandria - Renate	0:2
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Alessandria - Renate	4:1
Italian Serie C Group A
18.03.21	Alessandria - Renate	2:0
21.11.20	Renate - Alessandria	2:1
18.01.20	Renate - Alessandria	1:0
08.09.19	Alessandria - Renate	1:0
Club Friendly
05.08.18	Alessandria - Renate	0:0

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