Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	Carrarese		Renate

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.6
	2.2	2.75	3.4	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.1
	2.16	2.75	3.45
	2.26	2.85	3.7
	2.3	2.9	3.3
	2.26	2.78	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 (2.22)	2.84 ↓ (3.04)	3.45 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
41.2%

Draw
32.2%

Renate
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

30.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

20%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrarese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carrarese - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Carrarese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.11.20	Grosseto - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Carrarese - Alessandria	0:2 ✺
25.10.20	Novara - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Carrarese - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
17.10.20	Lecco - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWT
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
07.11.20	Renate - Lecco	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Piacenza - Renate	3:3 ✺
25.10.20	Renate - Livorno	0:2 ✺
21.10.20	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Renate - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.20	Carrarese - Renate	2:1
29.09.19	Renate - Carrarese	0:0
04.03.17	Renate - Carrarese	1:0
16.10.16	Carrarese - Renate	0:0

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