Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Oldenburg		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.45
	2.6	3.3	2.55
	2.7	3.35	2.38
	2.6	3.35	2.5
	2.69	3.58	2.62
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.6	3.46	2.49	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.35)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	2.49 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
35.4%

Draw
27.5%

Duisburg
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

25.7%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Oldenburg - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oldenburg will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Duisburg will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Oldenburg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Duisburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oldenburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oldenburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.23	Verl - Oldenburg	2:1 ✺
20.02.23	Oldenburg - Hallescher	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Elversberg - Oldenburg	3:0 ✺
05.02.23	Oldenburg - 1860 München	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Meppen - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTT
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.23	Duisburg - Meppen	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Freiburg II - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Duisburg - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
05.02.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Duisburg - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.12.22	Duisburg - Oldenburg	2:3
German 3 Bundesliga
29.08.22	Duisburg - Oldenburg	1:1

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