Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Oldenburg		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	3.25	3.35	2.08
	3.25	3.45	2.1
	3.54	3.71	2.07
	3.2	3.3	2.05
	3.34	3.64	2.02	Watch
	3.2	3.35	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.36)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	2.05 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
27.9%

Draw
26.8%

Rot-Weiß Essen
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.9%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.4%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldenburg's form might have worsened.

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rot-Weiß Essen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rot-Weiß Essen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Oldenburg - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oldenburg will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 13).

Oldenburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rot-Weiß Essen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oldenburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rot-Weiß Essen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
30.10.22	Freiburg II - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Oldenburg - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
17.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Oldenburg	3:1 ✺
08.10.22	Oldenburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Viktoria Köln - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
29.10.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Freiburg II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:3 ✺
02.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWTWL

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