Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub


	Oldenburg		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.85
	3.5	3.5	1.95
	3.5	3.65	1.9
	3.5	3.6	1.95
	3.74	3.86	1.97
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	3.62	3.62	1.93	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.83)	3.58 ↑ (3.38)	1.93 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
26%

Draw
25.9%

Ingolstadt
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

27.3%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldenburg's form might have worsened.

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ingolstadt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ingolstadt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Oldenburg - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Oldenburg will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6).

Recent matches Oldenburg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ingolstadt is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oldenburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ingolstadt will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
17.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Oldenburg	3:1 ✺
08.10.22	Oldenburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Viktoria Köln - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
17.09.22	Oldenburg - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWTW
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
15.10.22	Ingolstadt - Meppen	3:1 ✺
08.10.22	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:2 ✺
03.10.22	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Ingolstadt - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTTW

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