Match Info

Date: 17 October 2022, Monday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.42	4.6	6.75
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.4	4.7	6.5
	1.41	4.97	7.81
	1.35	4.4	7
	1.38	4.95	6.95	Watch
	1.4	4.7	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.85)	4.67 ↑ (3.53)	6.76 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
66.4%

Draw
19.9%

Oldenburg
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

25.3%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wehen Wiesbaden's performance.

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wehen Wiesbaden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	12.2%	12.2%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Oldenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 31 - 75.6%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wehen: 62.5% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Wehen is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.22	Zwickau - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Freiburg II	3:1 ✺
05.09.22	Saarbrücken - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWT
- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.22	Oldenburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Viktoria Köln - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
17.09.22	Oldenburg - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Oldenburg - Osnabrück	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWTWW

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