Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	3.6
	1.88	3.6	3.8
	1.85	3.5	3.8
	1.75	3.75	4.1
	1.88	3.83	4.1
	1.83	3.4	3.7
	1.83	3.78	3.86	Watch
	1.88	3.55	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.99)	3.65 ↑ (3.42)	3.84 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
50.4%

Draw
25.5%

Oldenburg
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Freiburg II - Oldenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Freiburg II will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg II: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 14).

Recent matches Freiburg II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oldenburg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oldenburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Freiburg II will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
21.10.22	Zwickau - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Freiburg II - Waldhof Mannheim	3:2 ✺
09.10.22	Freiburg II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:3 ✺
01.10.22	Saarbrücken - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Freiburg II - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLTT
- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
23.10.22	Oldenburg - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
17.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Oldenburg	3:1 ✺
08.10.22	Oldenburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Viktoria Köln - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
17.09.22	Oldenburg - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWT

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