Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORTH - ROUND 12

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Oldenburg		Spelle-Venhaus

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.75	7.75
	1.22	6	10
	1.25	6.33	9.85
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.22	6.2	10.25
	1.23	6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.47)	5.96 ↑ (4.73)	9.11 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
74.5%

Draw
15.4%

Spelle-Venhaus
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

19.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

17.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldenburg's performance.

Spelle-Venhaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spelle-Venhaus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spelle-Venhaus than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spelle-Venhaus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oldenburg - Spelle Venhaus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Oldenburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spelle-Venhaus is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Oldenburg is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
08.10.23	Bremer SV - Oldenburg	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Drochtersen Assel - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Oldenburg - Teutonia Ottensen	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Eintracht Norderstedt - Oldenburg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTTL
- SC Spelle-Venhaus
German Regionalliga North
08.10.23	Spelle-Venhaus - TSV Havelse	1:3 ✺
30.09.23	Bremer SV - Spelle-Venhaus	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Spelle-Venhaus - Kilia Kiel	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Holstein Kiel II - Spelle-Venhaus	2:1 ✺
10.09.23	Spelle-Venhaus - Phönix Lübeck	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLL

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