Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)


	Oldham Athletic		Boreham Wood

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.33
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.85	3.6	4
	1.87	3.5	3.64
	1.85	3.7	4.25
	1.8	3.5	3.7
	1.83	3.6	3.93
	1.81	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.15)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	3.91 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
50.3%

Draw
26.1%

Boreham Wood
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldham Athletic's performance.

Boreham Wood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boreham Wood might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boreham Wood could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Oldham Athletic - Boreham Wood Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Boreham Wood will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hudson M. (G) 32. Conlon T. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 24. Garner J. 26. Hammond O. 4. Hogan L. (C) 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 16. Raglan C. 2. Sachdev S. 11. Ward D.	1. Ashmore N. (G) 15. Agbontohoma D. 21. Appiah K. 5. Bush Ch. 3. Ilesanmi F. 4. Payne J. 24. Robinson M. 8. Sagaf M. 22. Sass-Davies B. 19. Sousa E. 17. Tshimanga K.
Substitutes
19. Gardner D. 15. Green D. 5. Hobson S. 1. Norman M. (G) 14. Sheron N.	14. Balanta A. 23. Clayden C. 2. Coxe C. 12. Fyfield J. 10. Marsh T.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 17).

Recent matches Oldham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boreham Wood is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oldham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
03.02.24	Ebbsfleet United - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Oldham Athletic - Woking	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Oldham Athletic - Barnet	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Oldham Athletic - Hendon	1:2 ✺
English National League
06.01.24	Dorking Wanderers - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLW
- Boreham Wood
English National League
10.02.24	Boreham Wood - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Woking - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Boreham Wood - Dorking Wanderers	0:3 ✺
24.01.24	Boreham Wood - Eastleigh	4:4 ✺
20.01.24	Bromley - Boreham Wood	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.08.23	Boreham Wood - Oldham Athletic	0:0
04.03.23	Oldham Athletic - Boreham Wood	0:2
06.12.22	Boreham Wood - Oldham Athletic	2:1

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