Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 22

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Oldham Athletic		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.5
	1.42	4.2	5.75
	1.44	4.5	6.5
	1.43	4.66	6.96
	1.44	4.49	6.82
	1.55	3.9	5.5
	1.42	4.45	6.5
	1.44	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	4.43 ↑ (4.22)	6.38 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
64.4%

Draw
21%

Wealdstone
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.1%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

25.6%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Oldham Athletic - Wealdstone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 4. Clucas S. 10. Conlon T. (C) 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 30. Norwood J. 2. Ogle R. 24. Stones J. 21. Sutton W.	31. Steward T. (G) 20. Ashford S. 7. Boldewijn E. 21. Cesay K. 2. Cook J. 3. Georgiou A. 27. Grant J. 10. Kretzschmar M. 19. Mariappa A. (C) 14. Obiero M. 25. Wells-Morrison J.
Substitutes
7. Charsley H. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 14. Garner J. 27. Hammond O. 11. Kay J. 33. Khan O. 35. Moloney S. (G)	5. Dyer A. 30. Hillson J. (G) 32. Mason B. 23. Mundle-Smith J. 24. Sandat H. 26. Thorpe E. 4. Woodman D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Obiero M. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Kretzschmar M. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Stones J. ⚽,
45+1', Wells-Morrison J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 2, Stones J. ⚽,
54', Georgiou A. ↓, Mundle-Smith J. ↑,
56', Ogle R. 🟨,
67', Cook J. 🟨,
67', Caprice J. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
67', Norwood J. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
73', Grant J. ↓, Thorpe E. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
80', Lundstram J. ↓, Charsley H. ↑,
88', Kretzschmar M. ↓, Sandat H. ↑,
88', Stones J. ↓, Garner J. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Oldham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oldham is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oldham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League Cup
10.12.24	Oldham Athletic - Blackburn Rovers U21	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Stockton Town - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Leyton Orient - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ET ✺
English National League
26.11.24	Oldham Athletic - Boston United	4:0 ✺
16.11.24	Oldham Athletic - Tamworth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW
- Wealdstone
English National League
10.12.24	Wealdstone - Altrincham	3:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
English National League Cup
03.12.24	Wealdstone - Derby County U21	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Wealdstone - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English National League
23.11.24	Eastleigh - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.08.24	Wealdstone - Oldham Athletic	0:1
20.04.24	Oldham Athletic - Wealdstone	2:3
30.09.23	Wealdstone - Oldham Athletic	1:1
28.03.23	Wealdstone - Oldham Athletic	2:2
16.08.22	Oldham Athletic - Wealdstone	1:2

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