Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Grosvenor Vale (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wealdstone		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.75
	2.25	3.4	2.6
	2.28	3.55	2.78
	2.33	3.63	2.9
	1.49	3.97	6.57	Watch
	2.32	3.52	2.74
	2.26	3.35	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	3.28 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
44%

Draw
26.9%

Altrincham
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

25.7%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Wealdstone - Altrincham Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wealdstone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baptiste D. (G) 5. Woodman D. 22. McAvoy C. 15. Chinedu P. 8. Kadji D. 3. Georgiou A. 7. Boldewijn E. (C) 20. Tshikuna N. 14. Obiero M. 29. Tiensia J. 9. Olomola O.	30. Hutchinson L. (G) 2. Banks L. 34. Sassi D. 4. Baines L. (C) 3. Reed S. 22. Crawford T. 23. Golden T. 8. Marriott I. 11. Knowles J. 9. Gale J. 21. Hinchy J.
Substitutes
27. Adarkwa S. 2. Cook J. 11. Hassan S. 17. Hutchinson D. 28. Lucas (G) 4. Mussa O. 24. Young-Coombes N.	24. Barnes S. 7. Crankshaw O. 27. Fallon L. (G) 40. Kirk C. 6. Osborne E. 10. Ward K. 29. Waters B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, McAvoy C. ⚽, Georgiou A. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Gale J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Knowles J. 🟨,
60', Olomola O. ↓, Adarkwa S. ↑,
60', McAvoy C. ↓, Hutchinson D. ↑,
66', Kadji D. ↓, Mussa O. ↑,
72', Hinchy J. ↓, Osborne E. ↑,
72', Gale J. ↓, Waters B. ↑,
73', Banks L. ↓, Barnes S. ↑,
74', Waters B. 🟨,
76', Obiero M. 🟨,
85', Tshikuna N. ↓, Young-Coombes N. ↑,
87', Chinedu P. ↓, Hassan S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 2.

Wealdstone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Altrincham has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wealdstone won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Wealdstone - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League
01.10.25	Brackley Town - Wealdstone	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Wealdstone - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Tamworth - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Morecambe - Wealdstone	4:3 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Wealdstone - Leicester City U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTLW
- Altrincham
English National League
01.10.25	Altrincham - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Yeovil Town - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Altrincham - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Altrincham - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Boreham Wood - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.03.25	Altrincham - Wealdstone	0:1
10.12.24	Wealdstone - Altrincham	3:3
26.03.24	Altrincham - Wealdstone	4:1
16.09.23	Wealdstone - Altrincham	0:0
04.03.23	Wealdstone - Altrincham	4:0
01.11.22	Altrincham - Wealdstone	0:1
23.04.22	Altrincham - Wealdstone	4:2

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