Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Olginatese		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3	3.05	2.05
	3.07	3.28	2.02
	3.22	3.2	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.88)	3.17 ↓ (3.44)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olginatese
28.2%

Draw
28.2%

Desenzano Calvina
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

21.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olginatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desenzano Calvina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olginatese than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olginatese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desenzano Calvina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olginatese - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Calvina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Olginatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.11.21	Casatese - Olginatese	2:2 ✺
31.10.21	Olginatese - Brusaporto	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Olginatese - Breno	0:0 ✺
20.10.21	Crema - Olginatese	0:1 ✺
16.10.21	Olginatese - Legnano	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTTWL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.11.21	Desenzano Calvina - Breno	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Desenzano Calvina - Legnano	4:0 ✺
20.10.21	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Desenzano Calvina - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWWL

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