Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Manuel Ferreira (Asunción)


	Olimpia Asuncion		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.75
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.47	4.1	5.6
	1.52	4.48	6.41
	1.47	4.25	6.25
	1.5	4.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.44)	4.16 ↓ (4.34)	5.84 ↓ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
61.9%

Draw
22.2%

Guaireña
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

20.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Guaireña will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Frutos R. (G) 29. Salazar V. 23. Romana J. 26. Barreto Viera O. J. 11. Torres I. (C) 35. Torres D. 8. Quintana H. 17. Gomez M. 38. Cano Esteche A. B. 16. Paiva G. 9. Bruera F.	12. Servin C. (G) 2. Gimenez A. 3. Castellano T. 5. Gonzalez J. 6. Paniagua M. (C) 11. Martinez A. 18. Acosta M. 20. Toledo R. 24. Aguilar J. 37. Comas L. 22. Borja E.
Substitutes
14. Cardozo F. 12. Espinola J. (G) 7. Fernandez H. 25. Gonzalez W. 18. Quintana S. 27. Ramon Martinez 36. Zabala F.	23. Caceres E. 25. Camisassa B. 10. Duarte C. 28. Finochietto L. (G) 19. Godoy D. 8. Valdez D. 9. Verdun J.
Coaches
Arce F.	Ovelar H.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 3.

Recent matches Olimpia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaireña is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olimpia is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.08.23	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Flamengo	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	5:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.08.23	Flamengo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.07.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWLT
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.08.23	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
06.08.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Guaireña - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
24.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	4:3 ✺
17.07.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
07.05.23	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0
26.02.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña	1:1
02.10.22	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
23.07.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña	2:1
01.05.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña	1:0
12.02.22	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	1:3
Copa Paraguay
04.11.21	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0

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