Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+
Usa	Fanatiz


	Olimpia Asuncion		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	7	Watch
	1.43	4.1	6
	1.33	4.75	7.9	Watch
	1.34	4.89	9.3
	1.33	5.13	8.62	Watch
	1.33	4.5	8.5
	1.35	4.87	7.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	4.68 ↑ (4.28)	7.9 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
68.5%

Draw
19.8%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

21.4%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

20%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olveira G. (C) 27. Caceres R. 22. Vera J. 15. Gamarra M. 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 23. Perez R. 20. Delmas E. 19. Lezcano R. 9. Sandoval H. 29. Leguizamon I.	12. Quinonez W. (G) 29. Garcia M. 13. Lopez M. 19. Caceres L. 20. Meza Montiel D. 4. Doldan J. 17. Jara T. 15. Pinatares B. 8. Quinonez A. (C) 30. Galeano A. 35. Colman C.
Substitutes
17. Alcaraz A. 5. Alfaro J. F. 35. Alfonso F. 2. Bentaberry B. 7. Cardozo F. 11. Ferreira S. 25. Lentinelly S. (G) 6. Ortiz R. 28. Quintana H. 26. Sanchez R. 3. Silva A. 14. Vargas G.	24. Aguero M. 34. Alderete E. 14. Alfonso M. 10. Alvarez A. 18. Aveiro P. 1. Cristoforo F. (G) 2. Esteche L. 22. Figueroa I. 21. Gonzalez H. 27. Ortiz E. 23. Rivas F. 6. Villamayor H.
Coaches
Sanchez P.	Caceres J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Garcia M. ↓, Esteche L. ↑,
43', Leguizamon I. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
54', Colman C. 🟨,
59', Esteche L. 🟨,
61', Delmas E. ↓, Alfaro J. F. ↑,
61', Perez R. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Silva A. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Jara T. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
74', Galeano A. ↓, Rivas F. ↑,
74', Meza Montiel D. ↓, Villamayor H. ↑,
75', Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 🟨,
76', Sandoval H. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
84', Doldan J. 🟨,
85', Gamarra M. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Caceres L. ⚽, Villamayor H. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 12).

Olimpia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sportivo San Lorenzo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sportivo San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olimpia is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	13	8	2	3	22:10	12	26
12	San Lorenzo	13	0	3	10	4:22	-18	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.02.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWT
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	0:7 ✺
26.02.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
19.07.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 penalties

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