Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 29

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday


	Olimpia Elbląg		Stomil Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.4	3.05	3.11
	2.36	3	3.11
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.34	3.08	3.04	Watch
	2.41	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
38.8%

Draw
30%

Stomil Olsztyn
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Olimpia Elbląg - Stomil Olsztyn Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Elbląg will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Stomil will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Witan A. (C) 6. Bartos K. 11. Famulak M. 19. Kozera D. 13. Kuczalek M. 24. Mruk B. 29. Sangowski J. 3. Sarnowski L. 16. Spychala M. 17. Stefaniak M. 20. Zak A.	30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 18. Bezpalec M. 77. Florek B. 50. Karlikowski M. 4. Kosmicki I. 3. Kuban L. 23. Laskowski F. 8. Retlewski D. 25. Sadowski H. 11. Wojcik F. 10. Zwir K. (C)
Substitutes
21. Filipczyk K. 9. Gabrych M. 15. Jakubczyk P. 7. Jozwicki K. 22. Legowski L. (G) 10. Senkevich Y. 5. Szczudlinski K. 26. Sznajder F. 28. Yatsenko O.	27. Brikner I. 74. Drabiszczak M. . Gwardiak K. 7. Krawczun H. 9. Kurbiel P. 19. Pietraszkiewicz D. 12. Szpaderski J. (G) 17. Szramowski L. 26. Walencik B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Kuban L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Florek B. ⚽,
50', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
64', Wojcik F. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
77', Wojcik F. ↓, Pietraszkiewicz D. ↑,
77', Kuban L. ↓, Walencik B. ↑,
78', Laskowski F. 🟨,
84', Retlewski D. ↓, Kurbiel P. ↑,
84', Laskowski F. ↓, Brikner I. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Gabrych M. ⚽,
90', Walencik B. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Elbląg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stomil is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Elbląg have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
13.04.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łódź II	1:3 ✺
28.03.24	Wisła Puławy - Olimpia Elbląg	4:0 ✺
22.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLLW
- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 2
12.04.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Hutnik	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	KKS Kalisz - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.10.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1
11.03.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0
10.08.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Stomil Olsztyn	4:0
Club Friendly
15.01.20	Stomil Olsztyn - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1

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