Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Elbląg		Wieczysta Kraków

	1	X	2
	9.25	5.75	1.22
	10	5.5	1.22	Watch
	9.84	5.6	1.23
	10.62	5.33	1.24	Watch
	11	5.8	1.15
	11.3	5.95	1.19	Watch
	10	5.5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.29 ↑ (5.2)	5.63 ↑ (4)	1.21 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
8.8%

Draw
16.1%

Wieczysta Kraków
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

22.6%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.5%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpia Elbląg's form might have worsened.

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wieczysta Kraków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Elbląg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wieczysta Kraków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olimpia Elbląg - Wieczysta Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tulowiecki K. (G) 21. Boguslawski L. 17. Fadecki W. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 19. Kozera D. 13. Kuczalek M. (C) 20. Rychter A. 7. Stepien R. 16. Szalecki D. 24. Szczudlinski K. 30. Wierzba D.	1. Mikulko A. (G) 26. Brzek B. 20. Chuma 88. Goku Roman 3. Goralski J. 89. Mikolajewski D. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 6. Pietrzak R. 77. Semedo L. 18. Torres M. 19. Trabka M.
Substitutes
12. Czaplinski D. 6. Jasinski M. 9. Kuzimski M. 4. Laszak K. 10. Senkevich Y. 14. Tiahlo O. 25. Tobojka M. 27. Witan A. (G) 28. Yatsenko O.	8. Danielak K. 9. Fidziukiewicz M. 11. Kiedrowicz D. 14. Koj M. 29. Lysiak P. 31. Mielcarz O. (G) 13. Pakulski D. 10. Sandoval D. 16. Swedrowski T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
18.08.24	Wisła Puławy - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.08.24	Swit Skolwin - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 2
17.08.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Hutnik	7:1 ✺
10.08.24	KKS Kalisz - Wieczysta Kraków	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Wieczysta Kraków - ŁKS Łódź II	4:0 ✺
27.07.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Wieczysta Kraków	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Resovia Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

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