Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday


	Olimpia Elbląg		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	1.95	3.2	3.35
	2.16	3.15	3
	2.3	3.33	3.04
	1.95	3.2	3.25
	2.23	3.18	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.41)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	3.1 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
42.7%

Draw
28.2%

Znicz Pruszków
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.9%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Elbląg's performance.

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Elbląg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Znicz Pruszków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpia Elbląg - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 2.

Elbląg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Znicz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
13.08.22	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
10.08.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Stomil Olsztyn	4:0 ✺
06.08.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
31.07.22	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
27.07.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWWTW
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 2
14.08.22	Znicz Pruszków - Garbarnia Kraków	2:1 ✺
11.08.22	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	Znicz Pruszków - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:0 ✺
30.07.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
26.07.22	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
27.04.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Znicz Pruszków	2:0
15.10.21	Znicz Pruszków - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1
09.05.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Znicz Pruszków	2:1
15.11.20	Znicz Pruszków - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1
13.06.20	Znicz Pruszków - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0
08.09.19	Olimpia Elbląg - Znicz Pruszków	1:2
20.04.19	Olimpia Elbląg - Znicz Pruszków	1:0

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