Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.55	1.9
	3.19	3.64	2
	1.82	3.63	3.88	Watch
	3.77	3.56	1.81	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.35)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	2.32 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
30.8%

Draw
27.5%

Olimpia Grudziądz
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

27.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Środa Wielkopolska will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Olimpia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Środa Wielkopolska (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frackowiak P. (C) 10. Bartkowiak B. 27. Budych K. 6. De Amo J. 21. Koltanski D. 29. Mackowiak M. 16. Misztal M. 98. Nawrocki F. 24. Sarbinowski S. 23. Stangel M. 47. Steczynski R.	71. Sobolewski S. (G) 10. Cichon K. 5. Czajka B. 3. Klimczak A. 72. Koperski F. 11. Krocz S. 13. Moneta L. 69. Pawlowski M. 26. Sewerzynski O. (C) 42. Zablonski P. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
19. Cywka T. 4. Kledecki J. 25. Krzos A. 77. Mikita P. 15. Pienczak M. . Rybarczyk K. 22. Skrobosinski P. 11. Sukhenko I. 2. Walczak M.	21. Bonikowski J. 33. Budchan E. (G) 16. Fietz K. 18. Jarzec K. 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 15. Koncewicz-Zylka P. 9. Mas M. 93. Tsyupa I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Bartkowiak B. ⚽,
25', Mackowiak M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Czajka B. ⚽,
36', Zablonski P. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Pawlowski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Klimczak A. ↓, Tsyupa I. ↑,
65', Misztal M. ↓, Mikita P. ↑,
65', Sarbinowski S. ↓, Cywka T. ↑,
68', Pawlowski M. ↓, Fietz K. ↑,
68', Cichon K. ↓, Mas M. ↑,
71', Krocz S. 🟨,
74', Krocz S. ↓, Jarzec K. ↑,
74', Moneta L. ↓, Kaczmarek T. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Koperski F. ⚽,
88', Steczynski R. ↓, Krzos A. ↑,

Preview

Środa Wielkopolska has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olimpia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Olimpia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
27.08.25	Luzino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTLT
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
17.09.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:3 ✺
24.08.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Śląsk Wrocław 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
02.06.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:0
05.11.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:4
28.05.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	7:2
23.10.21	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:0

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