Match Info

Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Grudziądzu (Grudziądz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Grudziądz		Sokół Kleczew

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	4.55
	1.6	4.02	5.04
	1.69	3.81	4.56	Watch
	1.63	3.72	4.62	Watch
	1.63	3.9	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	3.84 ↓ (4)	4.75 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Grudziądz
56.6%

Draw
24%

Sokół Kleczew
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

22.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sokół Kleczew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Kleczew than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Olimpia Grudziądz - Sokół Kleczew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Sobolewski S. (G) 10. Cichon K. 5. Czajka B. 44. Frelek D. (C) 18. Jarzec K. 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 9. Mas M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.	1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 5. Bartosiak M. 3. Kaptur H. 47. Kargul-Grobla K. 22. Kubacki A. 19. Kubiak O. 14. Laskowski F. 9. Sangowski J. 23. Sliwa M. 27. Smolinski W. 21. Wandachowicz B.
Substitutes
33. Budchan E. (G) 16. Fietz K. 15. Koncewicz-Zylka P. 72. Koperski F. 11. Krocz S. 13. Moneta L. 69. Pawlowski M. 42. Zablonski P.	11. Iwinski A. 4. Janiszewski K. 18. Kulawiak A. 12. Medrala M. (G) 7. Stachowicz N. 2. Zimmer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Jarzec K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Laskowski F. 🟨,
61', Kaczmarek T. ↓, Moneta L. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Zbiciak B. ⚽,
62', Kubiak O. 🟨,
67', Jarzec K. ↓, Koperski F. ↑,
67', Mas M. ↓, Pawlowski M. ↑,
67', Wandachowicz B. ↓, Kulawiak A. ↑,
67', Kubacki A. ↓, Stachowicz N. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Frelek D. ⚽,
79', Cichon K. ↓, Fietz K. ↑,
86', Pawlowski M. 🟨,
86', Kargul-Grobla K. ↓, Iwinski A. ↑,
86', Kubiak O. ↓, Zimmer M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Sliwa M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 11).

Olimpia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Kleczew has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kleczew may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olimpia is considered a favorite.

We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
27.09.25	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:3 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
17.09.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW
- Sokół Kleczew
Polish Division 2
28.09.25	Sokół Kleczew - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Warta Poznań - Sokół Kleczew	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Sokół Kleczew	1:4 ✺
12.09.25	Sokół Kleczew - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:2 ✺
03.09.25	Swit Skolwin - Sokół Kleczew	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.03.23	Sokół Kleczew - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:0
21.08.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Sokół Kleczew	0:0
01.04.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Sokół Kleczew	0:0
28.08.21	Sokół Kleczew - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2

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