The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lobos UPNFM 13.9%
Draw 19.8%
Motagua 66.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.3%
21.9%
60.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.8%
21.3%
62.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motagua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Lobos UPNFM - Motagua Predictions
Users Predictions:
Motagua will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Guity A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 5. Zuniga A. 13. Gutierrez C. 25. Onofre G. 6. Ponce J. 8. Nunez J. 26. Lopez B. 27. Pena K. (C) 32. Martinez J. 46. Ruiz J.
22. Ortiz L. (G) 42. Argueta J. 34. Sacaza G. 12. Santos M. (C) 17. Portillo J. 8. Melendez D. 5. Discua O. 10. Gomez R. 7. Serrano J. 29. John Kleber 53. Oliva D.
Substitutes
65. Coello A. 20. Lopez E. 51. Martinez O. 70. Mejia A. 11. Moreira R. 17. Padilla J. 7. Rochez C. 1. Valladares C. (G) 16. Vasquez E.
14. Barrios A. 2. Cacho P. 19. De Olivera R. 33. Izaguirre E. 25. Licona M. (G) 27. Macias J. 77. Mejia C. 35. Melendez C. 11. Romario 26. Santamaria L. 4. Vega L. 6. Zapata R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Serrano J. ⚽,
27', Ruiz J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Melendez D. ↓, Santamaria L. ↑,
46', Sacaza G. ↓, Cacho P. ↑,
46', Argueta J. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Pena K. ⚽,
57', Oliva D. ↓, Romario ↑,
59', Nunez J. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
71', Serrano J. ↓, De Olivera R. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Pena K. ⚽,
90+4', Pena K. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
90+4', Gutierrez C. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 1.
Lobos UPNFM has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Motagua has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Motagua is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:47. (average 1.1:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).
Honduras
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Guity A. (G) 
Martinez J. 
Serrano J. 
John Kleber 
Moreira R. 
De Olivera R. 
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