Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Excelsior (Puerto Cortes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Platense		Lobos UPNFM

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.80
	2.18	3.25	2.8
	2.17	3.3	2.89
	2.26	3.42	2.98	Watch
	2.12	3.05	2.8
	2.2	3.18	2.95
	2.18	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.4)	3.25 ↑ (3)	2.86 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
41.1%

Draw
27.6%

Lobos UPNFM
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.4%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Platense - Lobos UPNFM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Loaiza M. (G) 2. Amarilla G. 34. Arriola Y. 6. Castillo Marin J. 3. Garcia E. 22. Gutierrez C. 57. Jasid Arzu Marin Y. 23. Salinas M. 21. Santos B. 14. Urbina E. 12. Welcome G. (C)	12. Guity A. (G) 16. Carter D. 24. Elvir O. 11. Elvir S. 15. Glavocic J. 10. Hinestroza Y. 20. Lopez E. 6. Ponce J. 3. Rodas Andrino G. J. (C) 2. Suazo D. 5. Zuniga A.
Substitutes
29. Arriaga 13. Arzu M. 1. Bonilla M. (G) 26. Brooks J. 19. Canahuati G. 27. Garcia A. 24. Moncada M. 11. Osorio D. 8. Palacios J. 16. Portillo A. 25. Rodriguez J. J. 47. Tejada	29. Amaral R. 1. Banegas G. (G) 23. Castrillo J. 21. Erazo A. 7. Hurtado L. 19. Lagos D. 26. Lopez B. 77. Mejia C. 8. Nunez J. 13. Rodriguez M. 25. Santos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Hinestroza Y. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Carter D. ⚽,
26', Arriola Y. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
34', 0 - 2, Elvir S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jasid Arzu Marin Y. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
46', Gutierrez C. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
46', Hinestroza Y. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
46', Glavocic J. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
46', Ponce J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
46', Carter D. ↓, Castrillo J. ↑,
61', Santos B. 🟨,
64', Suazo D. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
64', Welcome G. ↓, Brooks J. ↑,
68', Amarilla N. 🟨,
79', Amarilla N. ↓, Arzu M. ↑,
89', Osorio D. 🟨,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 3.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Platense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Platense has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Platense has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:20 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Platense against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:9 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8
12	Platense	8	1	2	5	6:18	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
11.09.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Platense	2:2 ✺
03.09.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Platense	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Platense - Atlético Independiente	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Choloma - Platense	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Génesis PN - Platense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLL
- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
13.09.26	Lobos UPNFM - Choloma	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Lobos UPNFM - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
19.04.26	Platense - Lobos UPNFM	4:1
26.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:0
18.10.25	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:1
10.08.25	Platense - Lobos UPNFM	4:1
03.04.22	Platense - Lobos UPNFM	1:0
09.02.22	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:2
26.09.21	Platense - Lobos UPNFM	2:3

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