The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 49.2%
Draw 29.9%
General San Martín de Formosa 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.1%
21.1%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.8%
20.3%
11.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpo Bahia Blanca's form might have worsened.
General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting General San Martín de Formosa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+20.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpo Bahia Blanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for General San Martín de Formosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 8. Amarilla C. 4. Bellone A. O. 6. Ferreyra M. 10. Guille B. 3. Lapetina L. 2. Moiraghi N. 7. Olivera M. 11. Ramirez D. 5. Stancato A. 9. Susvielles J.
1. Humeler K. (G) 11. Alegre G. 5. Bobadilla M. 7. Ceratto L. 4. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 2. Piris O. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.
Substitutes
14. Chimino C. 17. Coacci E. 19. Espejo L. 15. Fernandez S. 12. Geist C. (G) 20. Gonzalez F. 18. Hernandez A. 13. Hertel L. 16. Vargas M.
20. Aquino A. 17. Calo L. 19. Cuevas E. 15. Illanes Machuca F. 14. Leguizamon M. 18. Lopez A. 12. Morichi P. (G) 16. Riquelme R. 13. Sanchez B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Ceratto L. ⚽,
31', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this matchup, Olimpo is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Olimpo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Olimpo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Argentina
Watch
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Lungarzo J. (G) 
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