Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Juventud Antoniana

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.75	3.70
	2.18	2.68	3.6
	2.39	2.46	3.67
	2.86	1.97	4.60	Watch
	2.35	2.4	3.4
	2.37	2.94	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.84)	2.53 ↓ (3)	3.71 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
38.9%

Draw
36.3%

Juventud Antoniana
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

33.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpo Bahia Blanca's form might have worsened.

Juventud Antoniana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpo Bahia Blanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventud Antoniana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Antoniana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 8. Amarilla C. 4. Chimino C. 6. Ferreyra M. (C) 10. Guille B. 11. Hernandez 3. Lapetina L. 2. Moiraghi N. 7. Olivera M. 5. Stancato A. 9. Susvielles J.	1. Abraham F. (G) 10. Esparza M. 6. Fernandez F. 4. Gomez N. 11. Marchiori T. 2. Monti I. 7. Mune P. 9. Palacios Alvarenga P. 8. Palacios J. 3. Sanabria I. 5. Vargas M.
Substitutes
14. Bellone A. O. 17. Coacci E. 20. Colmenares M. 18. Espejo L. 15. Fernandez S. 12. Geist C. (G) 19. Hernandez A. 13. Hertel L. 16. Vargas M.	17. Assennato T. 19. Belizan L. 20. Bracamonte G. 15. Costilla A. 16. Flores P. 12. Lizondo S. D. (G) 14. Lopez A. 13. Morinigo A. 18. Taborda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
68', 🟨,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Olimpo is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Juventud Antoniana - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 21.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTTT
- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	0:3 ✺
12.07.26	Juventud Antoniana - Tucuman Central	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Defensores de Vilelas	4:0 ✺
20.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTWT

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