Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Pero Pinheiro		Caldas

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.47	Watch
	5.5	4	1.5
	6.77	4.1	1.5
	6.77	4.11	1.5
	6.09	4.05	1.46
	5.4	3.9	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↑ (5.96)	4.01 ↓ (4.2)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pero Pinheiro
15.3%

Draw
22.9%

Caldas
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

22.2%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

20.4%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 30. Bissula M. 72. Chiquinho 23. Diomande I. 10. Galamba A. 22. Loureiro T. 44. Lourenco M. 19. Oliveira K. 27. Pedrosa A. 17. Pinheiro L. 4. Rodeia M.	22. Garrido D. (G) 17. Barreiras G. 27. Barros E. 8. Clemente D. 7. Farinha L. 77. Leandro 6. Militao T. 30. Monteiro E. 5. Pepo 33. Tarzan 2. Yordy Marcelo
Substitutes
8. Anjos C. 11. Bastos F. 9. Carvalho R. 5. Figueroa J. 32. Miguel Verissimo 99. Osei S. 26. Pires D. 1. Soares M. (G) 7. Ze Maria	32. Cascao F. 19. Chaves G. 10. Januario 3. Marcelino L. 11. Marques M. 71. Mata A. (G) 45. Perre A. 4. Santos D. 55. Simoes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Galamba A. ⚽,
31', Galamba A. 🟨,
42', Clemente D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Tarzan (Pen),
60', 🟨,
61', Diomande I. ↓, Osei S. ↑,
64', Farinha L. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
66', Militao T. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
72', Bissula M. ↓, Ze Maria ↑,
74', Barros E. ↓, Perre A. ↑,
74', Barreiras G. ↓, Januario ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Leandro ⚽,
81', 🟨,
84', Pedrosa A. ↓, Anjos C. ↑,
84', Rodeia M. ↓, Bastos F. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', Pepo ↓, Chaves G. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pero Pinheiro won 3.

Pero Pinheiro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caldas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Caldas is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pero Pinheiro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Pero Pinheiro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pero Pinheiro
Portuguese Liga 3
30.03.24	Amora - Pero Pinheiro	4:1 ✺
23.03.24	Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	Pero Pinheiro - Amora	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Caldas - Pero Pinheiro	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
30.03.24	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Caldas - Amora	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Caldas - Pero Pinheiro	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Oliveira Hospital - Caldas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
02.03.24	Caldas - Pero Pinheiro	4:1
21.01.24	Pero Pinheiro - Caldas	1:2
08.10.23	Caldas - Pero Pinheiro	1:2
Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Pero Pinheiro - Caldas	2:1 penalties
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.03.21	Caldas - Pero Pinheiro	0:1
06.12.20	Pero Pinheiro - Caldas	2:0
17.12.17	Caldas - Pero Pinheiro	0:0

Pero Pinheiro - Caldas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide