Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Oliveira Hospital		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.55	3	2.7
	2.76	2.88	2.81	Watch
	2.74	2.87	2.82	Watch
	2.55	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.67)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.75 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
35.5%

Draw
31%

União de Santarém
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Andre Paulo (G) 8. David Bras 9. Gracio D. 23. Io S. 19. Michel 28. Nascimento D. 11. Neiva G. 55. Silva T. 3. Simao A. 18. Souza E. 30. Vinhas D.	1. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 13. Apolinario R. 21. Araujo P. 31. Balau D. 5. Ferreira K. 81. Goncalves E. F. 16. Grilo M. 9. Gustavo Franca 11. Joao Ricardo 14. Simoes J. 20. Ventura B.
Substitutes
12. Fajardo R. 71. Fernandes L. (G) 38. Oliveira M. 44. Pablo Veloso 17. Pinheiro L. 46. Santos J. 21. Urco	19. Araujo R. 44. Doukoure H. 67. Fernandes R. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 27. Juninho 10. Madeira T. 26. Matheus Juliao 95. Sagna P. 8. Vieira A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Balau D. ⚽,
39', Grilo M. 🟨,
45', Gustavo Franca 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Io S. ↓, Urco ↑,
54', Michel 🟨,
56', Goncalves E. F. ↓, Madeira T. ↑,
56', Nascimento D. ↓, Oliveira M. ↑,
56', Souza E. ↓, Manoel Atanasio ↑,
67', Ventura B. ↓, Vieira A. ↑,
67', Gustavo Franca ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
71', David Bras ↓, Pinheiro L. ↑,
71', Silva T. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
79', Ferreira K. 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Balau D. ⚽,
89', Balau D. ↓, Juninho ↑,
89', Apolinario R. ↓, Doukoure H. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Oliveira Hospital could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveira Hospital won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
30.03.25	Caldas - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Caldas	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWLT
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
29.03.25	União de Santarém - Covilhã	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
02.03.25	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:0
01.11.24	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:2
12.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	1:2
26.02.22	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	1:0
04.12.21	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.12.19	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	3:0

Upcoming Matches