Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Oliveirense		AVS

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.67
	4.5	3.4	1.65	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.75	Watch
	5.41	3.88	1.72
	5.41	3.88	1.68
	4.75	3.6	1.6
	4.88	3.78	1.68
	4.8	3.5	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↓ (4.95)	3.64 ↓ (3.82)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
19.1%

Draw
25.5%

AVS
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.9%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

24.1%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Oliveirense - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: AVS will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Macedo N. (G) 42. Guilherme 13. Lomboto J. 4. Iago Reis 72. Negrao G. 5. Filipe Alves (C) 56. Schurrle 18. Gadelho V. 7. Paulo J. 23. Michel Lima 34. Ze Leite	93. Simao (G) 12. Farias E. 40. Clayton 5. Teixeira J. 2. Fonseca F. 8. Bernardo 47. Lucca J. 90. Tunde Akinsola 7. Silva L. (C) 17. Mercado J. 18. Nene
Substitutes
99. Augusto A. (G) 9. Carter A. 25. Casimiro 10. Duarte D. 68. Klebinho 37. Lamine M. 50. Nagata K. 8. Santos A. 22. Ze Pedro	20. Amorim J. 22. Leo Alaba 23. Mendonca G. 6. Pacheco F. 70. Samuel Granada 11. Stenio 19. Talles Wander 88. Trigueira P. (G) 98. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Cheu R.	Costa J.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Oliveirense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

AVS is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Oliveirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match AVS is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
08.03.24	Leiria - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Oliveirense - Nacional	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Santa Clara - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	2:2 ✺
09.02.24	Oliveirense - Torreense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTL
- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
11.03.24	AVS - Feirense	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Penafiel - AVS	0:1 ✺
27.02.24	AVS - Académico de Viseu	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Vilaverdense - AVS	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	AVS - Leiria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.23	AVS - Oliveirense	0:1

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