Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Referee: Lopes V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Leiria		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	4.75
	1.65	3.75	4.65
	1.7	3.95	4.99
	1.55	3.93	5.95	Watch
	1.64	3.9	4.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)	3.85 ↓ (3.97)	5.03 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
57.1%

Draw
24.3%

Oliveirense
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.4%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Leiria - Oliveirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leiria (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 52. Sylla H. 16. Ze Pedro 6. Rodriguez G. 15. Silva J. 45. Mendes J. 7. Quizera F. 21. Pires M. 10. van der Gaag J. 9. Munoz J. (C) 19. Fernandez P.	31. Ribeiro R. (G) 13. Santos V. 4. Bura (C) 75. Namora N. 21. Silva J. 14. Pereira D. 99. Sabino 19. Lopes A. 7. Joao Adriano 9. Martelo P. 10. Bruno Silva
Substitutes
3. Baro M. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 41. Daniel Borges 20. Gomes B. 11. Jair da Silva 18. Lottin A. 17. Lucho Vega 86. Michel D. 14. Ze Vitor	1. Dabo R. (G) 16. Diallo A. 6. Dioh I. 23. Gustavao 11. Joanderson 17. Lucas Henrique 54. Martins S. 8. Ondoa F. 25. Takahashi T.
Coaches
Pereira F.	Pinto J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Mendes J. ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
44', Pires M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Quizera F. ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
59', Pereira D. ↓, Ondoa F. ↑,
59', Joao Adriano ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
61', Martelo P. 🟨,
68', Pires M. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
68', Jair da Silva ↓, Michel D. ↑,
80', Bruno Silva ↓, Lucas Henrique ↑,
80', Martelo P. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
82', Silva J. ↓, Baro M. ↑,
86', Lopes A. 🟨,
90+4', Silva J. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 4.

Leiria is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Oliveirense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Leiria has had a series of away games.

In this match, Leiria is the team to beat.

We predict that Leiria will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Portimonense - Leiria	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Sacavenense - Leiria	2:4 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Porto B - Leiria	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Leiria - Torreense	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leiria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWT
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
05.10.25	Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Desportivo Monção - Oliveirense	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.25	Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Vizela - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
02.05.25	Leiria - Oliveirense	5:0
22.12.24	Oliveirense - Leiria	1:2
08.03.24	Leiria - Oliveirense	1:0
29.10.23	Oliveirense - Leiria	1:4
Portuguese Liga 3
25.04.22	Leiria - Oliveirense	0:2
03.04.22	Oliveirense - Leiria	0:0
Taça de Portugal
18.11.12	Oliveirense - Leiria	1:0

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