Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV1


	Oliveirense		Torreense

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.9
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.5	3.35	2.02
	3.9	3.48	1.99
	3.5	3.48	2.04	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.66	3.41	1.99	Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.16)	3.3 ↑ (3.03)	1.96 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
25.8%

Draw
27.7%

Torreense
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29.8%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

29.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Oliveirense - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Torreense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.30) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ribeiro R. (C) 2. Douglas Borel 4. Bura 75. Namora N. 19. Lopes A. 99. Sabino 90. Brito T. 8. Ondoa F. 21. Silva J. 9. Martelo P. 10. Bruno Silva	1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira (C) 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. 8. Alfaro A. 65. Guilherme Liberato 6. Leo Silva 11. Pozo M. 9. Zohi K. 7. Jean D.
Substitutes
26. Bastos L. 16. Diallo A. 40. Greis N. (G) 23. Gustavao 7. Joao Adriano 57. Nagata K. 14. Pereira D. 88. Rodriguez Y. 13. Santos V.	46. Agbor B. 4. Casas A. 10. Costinha 57. Danilo 17. Drammeh M. 13. Perez U. (G) 20. Pite 29. Quintero L. 31. Seydi I.
Coaches
Silva R.	Tralhao L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Leo Silva ⚽, Pozo M. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Pozo M. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Leo Silva 🟨,
40', Sabino ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
40', Martelo P. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
45+4', Lucas Paes 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guilherme Liberato ↓, Casas A. ↑,
58', Silva J. 🟨,
64', Pozo M. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
64', Zohi K. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
68', Bruno Silva ↓, Nagata K. ↑,
69', Brito T. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
78', Pereira D. 🟨,
79', Douglas Borel ↓, Joao Adriano ↑,
85', Alfaro A. ↓, Agbor B. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Drammeh M. ⚽,
90', Jean D. ↓, Costinha ↑,
90+2', Bura 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 0.

Oliveirense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torreense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Torreense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Torreense - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
01.03.26	Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Oliveirense - Leiria	2:4 ✺
14.02.26	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Oliveirense - Vizela	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWL
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
28.02.26	Torreense - Porto B	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Torreense - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
04.02.26	Fafe - Torreense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:2
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	2:1 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.25	Oliveirense - Torreense	0:0
24.08.24	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:0
09.02.24	Oliveirense - Torreense	1:2
03.09.23	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:1
15.05.23	Oliveirense - Torreense	3:1

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