Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)


	AVS		Leiria

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.05	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.3
	2.25	3.2	3.15
	2.27	3.27	3.47
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.14	3.3	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.02)	3.21 ↓ (3.33)	3.3 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
43.1%

Draw
28.8%

Leiria
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

29.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	16.7%	11.1%

AVS - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AVS: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Trigueira P. (G) 22. Leo Alaba 40. Clayton 5. Teixeira J. 98. Ze Ricardo 6. Pacheco F. 23. Mendonca G. 26. Lopes V. 7. Silva L. (C) 17. Mercado J. 18. Nene	1. Kieszek P. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 4. Bura 72. Oliveira V. 3. Lystsov V. 14. Empis P. 10. van der Gaag J. 25. Amado D. (C) 42. D'Avilla D. 17. Lucho Vega 11. Silva J.
Substitutes
20. Amorim J. 10. Dioh I. 12. Farias E. 16. Mena Y. 70. Samuel Granada 93. Simao (G) 11. Stenio 3. Thiago Freitas 90. Tunde Akinsola	7. Antunes L. 8. Arsenio 90. Ayongo P. 29. Ferreira F. (G) 2. Ferreira T. 35. Rochez B. 21. Silva L. 88. Silva M. 22. Valdir
Coaches
Costa J.	Costa V.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

AVS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

AVS will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches AVS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
03.02.24	Torreense - AVS	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	AVS - Marítimo	3:2 ✺
20.01.24	Belenenses - AVS	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Tondela - AVS	3:2 ✺
07.01.24	AVS - Leixões	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- UD Leiria
Taça de Portugal
07.02.24	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
03.02.24	Leiria - Porto B	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Benfica B - Leiria	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Leiria - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.01.24	Marítimo - Leiria	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
02.09.23	Leiria - AVS	1:2

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