The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oliveirense 26.4%
Draw 26.2%
Nacional 47.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
26.2%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
25.4%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliveirense's form might have worsened.
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliveirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
0%
93.3%
Oliveirense - Nacional Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 80.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Macedo N. (G) 19. John K. 42. Guilherme 18. Gadelho V. 22. Ze Pedro 56. Schurrle 23. Michel Lima 5. Filipe Alves (C) 34. Ze Leite 21. Jaiminho 90. Sangare B.
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 3. Pola J. 40. Ulisses 5. Jose Gomes 18. Sousa A. 10. Esteves L. 11. Witi 28. Carlos Daniel 77. Gustavo 99. Dudu
Substitutes
99. Augusto A. (G) 9. Carter A. 10. Duarte D. 4. Iago Reis 37. Lamine M. 13. Lomboto J. 50. Nagata K. 7. Paulo J. 8. Santos A.
71. Diga 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 33. Goncalves C. 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 9. Ramirez J. 6. Shatri F. 55. Sousa A.
Coaches
Cheu R.
Margarido T.
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1.
Oliveirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Oliveirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
Portugal
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Macedo N. (G) 
John K. 
Michel Lima 
Sangare B. 
Pola J. 
Witi 
Carter A. 
Lamine M. 
Lomboto J. 
Nagata K. 
Marakis S. 
Ramirez J. 
Shatri F. 
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