Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 30 December 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)


	Oliveirense		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.65	3.6	4.4
	1.66	3.55	4.6
	1.68	3.7	4.5
	1.69	4	5.15
	1.62	3.6	4.75
	1.67	3.74	4.55
	1.67	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.81)	3.68 ↑ (3.22)	4.61 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
55.2%

Draw
24.9%

Covilhã
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oliveirense's performance.

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	11.5%	7.7%

Oliveirense - Covilhã Predictions

Users Predictions: Oliveirense will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 0.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Oliveirense is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese League Cup
10.12.22	Oliveirense - Arouca	0:3 ✺
29.11.22	Santa Clara - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Oliveirense - Feirense	0:0 ✺
19.11.22	Leixões - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.11.22	Estrela da Amadora - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLL
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese League Cup
14.12.22	Covilhã - Nacional	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Portimonense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Covilhã - Gil Vicente	2:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.11.22	Covilhã - BSAD	1:1 ✺
04.11.22	Mafra - Covilhã	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.21	Covilhã - Oliveirense	1:0
25.10.20	Oliveirense - Covilhã	1:2
03.02.20	Covilhã - Oliveirense	1:0
17.08.19	Oliveirense - Covilhã	0:2
10.03.19	Oliveirense - Covilhã	1:2
04.11.18	Covilhã - Oliveirense	1:0
04.02.18	Covilhã - Oliveirense	1:1

Oliveirense - Covilhã