Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.08	3.25	3.25
	2.09	3.45	3.15
	2.21	3.58	3.33
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.08	3.48	3.14
	2.07	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.3)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	3.15 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
43.9%

Draw
27%

Oliveirense
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Estrela da Amadora - Oliveirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Estrela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
06.11.22	BSAD - Estrela da Amadora	1:3 ✺
31.10.22	Estrela da Amadora - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Mafra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
15.10.22	Estrela da Amadora - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTWL
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.22	Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Farense - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Oliveirense - Nacional	0:0 ✺
19.10.22	Tondela - Oliveirense	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Nacional - Oliveirense	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLTWL

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