Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 12

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Oliveirense		Leixões

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.82	3.2	2.38
	3	3.2	2.58
	2.85	3.26	2.42	Watch
	2.87	3.14	2.46	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 (2.85)	3.18 ↓ (3.26)	2.45 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
32.7%

Draw
29.2%

Leixões
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Oliveirense - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oliveirense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Oliveirense (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Oliveirense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ribeiro R. (G) 22. Keating T. 54. Martins S. 75. Namora N. 2. Douglas Borel 8. Ondoa F. 14. Pereira D. 19. Lopes A. 21. Silva J. 9. Martelo P. 10. Bruno Silva	1. Morro M. (G) 77. Paulinho 3. Figueiredo L. 4. Rafael Santos 30. Serif N. 6. Paulinho 13. Evrard Zag 11. Agra S. 22. Araujo C. 7. Werton 9. Bica
Substitutes
26. Bastos L. 4. Bura 16. Diallo A. 6. Dioh I. 40. Greis N. (G) 11. Joanderson 7. Joao Adriano 99. Sabino 25. Takahashi T.	47. Cardoso J. (G) 18. Kanuric B. 5. Naldo 8. Neto 10. Paulite 35. Rochez B. 15. Simaozinho 91. Valente R. 88. Yahaya A.
Coaches
Pinto J.	Fangueiro C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ondoa F. 🟨,
21', Rafael Santos 🟨,
38', Rafael Santos 🟨,
42', Araujo C. ↓, Naldo ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Lopes A. ⚽, Namora N. (A),
55', Agra S. ↓, Rochez B. ↑,
55', Serif N. ↓, Neto ↑,
56', Werton ↓, Simaozinho ↑,
56', Douglas Borel ↓, Joao Adriano ↑,
68', Neto 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Bruno Silva (Pen),
71', Keating T. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
71', Ondoa F. ↓, Dioh I. ↑,
71', Bruno Silva ↓, Sabino ↑,
73', Paulinho ↓, Valente R. ↑,
83', Bica 🟨,
86', Agra S. 🟨,
86', Evrard Zag 🟨,
87', Sabino 🟨,
88', Martelo P. ↓, Joanderson ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Leixões may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.25	Portimonense - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Oliveirense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLL
- Leixões SC
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Vila Meã - Leixões	2:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.11.25	Leixões - Chaves	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Leixões - Torreense	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leixões	3:1 ✺
30.10.25	Leixões - Académico de Viseu	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.02.25	Leixões - Oliveirense	1:2
31.08.24	Oliveirense - Leixões	0:1
19.05.24	Oliveirense - Leixões	1:3
12.01.24	Leixões - Oliveirense	0:2
28.05.23	Oliveirense - Leixões	4:3
21.01.23	Leixões - Oliveirense	1:2
Portuguese League Cup
19.11.22	Leixões - Oliveirense	2:1

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