Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Portimonense		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.75
	1.88	3.5	3.75
	1.92	3.6	4.09
	1.82	3.75	3.73	Watch
	1.9	3.54	3.78
	1.78	3.55	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	3.54 ↓ (3.75)	3.81 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
49.7%

Draw
26.1%

Oliveirense
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

24.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

23.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Portimonense - Oliveirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 6. Neves S. 33. Grolli D. 32. Jarleysom 5. Heitor 8. Lobato S. 15. Xavier 17. Joao Reis 21. Dauda M. 9. Monteiro T. (C) 18. Mamede	31. Ribeiro R. (G) 13. Santos V. 4. Bura (C) 75. Namora N. 19. Lopes A. 8. Ondoa F. 99. Sabino 7. Joao Adriano 21. Silva J. 9. Martelo P. 16. Diallo A.
Substitutes
2. Abel A. 90. Canario F. 19. Dju M. 36. Douglas Friedrich (G) 40. Joao Neto 73. Junior M. 16. Thauan Lara 93. Welinton Junior 23. Ze Gabriel	26. Bastos L. 10. Bruno Silva 40. Greis N. (G) 23. Gustavao 11. Joanderson 17. Lucas Henrique 54. Martins S. 14. Pereira D. 25. Takahashi T.
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Pinto J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Sabino 🟨,
39', Xavier 🟨,
42', Dauda M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sabino ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
46', Diallo A. ↓, Bruno Silva ↑,
54', Silva J. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
55', Pereira D. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Bruno Silva ⚽, Martelo P. (A),
63', Xavier ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
63', Dauda M. ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
68', Joao Neto 🟨,
68', Neves S. ↓, Junior M. ↑,
75', Jarleysom ↓, Canario F. ↑,
75', Lobato S. ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
79', Martelo P. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
79', Silva J. ↓, Martins S. ↑,
84', Lopes A. 🟨,
87', Joao Adriano ↓, Bastos L. ↑,
90+5', Santos V. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Monteiro T. (Pen),
90+10', Gustavao 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Oliveirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Portimonense is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
30.10.25	Portimonense - Torreense	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Paços de Ferreira - Portimonense	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Portimonense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Portimonense - Leiria	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Académico de Viseu - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLTW
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.25	Oliveirense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.10.25	Leiria - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.25	Portimonense - Oliveirense	2:3
09.11.24	Oliveirense - Portimonense	0:2
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Oliveirense - Portimonense	3:4 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.16	Oliveirense - Portimonense	0:2
13.12.15	Portimonense - Oliveirense	1:2
06.05.15	Oliveirense - Portimonense	2:4
21.12.14	Portimonense - Oliveirense	2:1

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