Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV4


	Oliveirense		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.95
	3.5	3.3	2.02
	3.53	3.34	2.04
	3.25	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.14)	3.32 ↓ (3.55)	1.99 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
26.4%

Draw
27.6%

Marítimo
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.1%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

25.9%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Oliveirense - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Marítimo will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marítimo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ribeiro R. (G) 13. Santos V. 4. Bura (C) 75. Namora N. 25. Takahashi T. 14. Pereira D. 99. Sabino 54. Martins S. 10. Bruno Silva 21. Silva J. 16. Diallo A.	12. Samu (C) 17. Xavi Grande 5. Madsen N. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 23. Henrique P. 10. Tejon M. 18. Danilovic V. 8. Cruz M. 28. Carlos Daniel 21. Bouzaidi S. 3. Butzke A.
Substitutes
26. Bastos L. 6. Dioh I. 40. Greis N. (G) 11. Joanderson 7. Joao Adriano 22. Keating T. 17. Lucas Henrique 9. Martelo P. 8. Ondoa F.	44. Correia R. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 98. Ibrahima 2. Igor Juliao 7. Pena Zauner E. 14. Raphael Guzzo 4. Santos Junior E. A. 1. Tabuaco G. (G) 79. Tavares M.
Coaches
Pinto J.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Carlos Daniel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Martins S. ↓, Ondoa F. ↑,
56', Ondoa F. 🟨,
58', Bruno Silva ↓, Martelo P. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Danilovic V. ⚽,
71', Takahashi T. ↓, Joao Adriano ↑,
71', Silva J. ↓, Bastos L. ↑,
74', Carlos Daniel ↓, Igor Juliao ↑,
74', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Raphael Guzzo ↑,
79', Pereira D. ↓, Lucas Henrique ↑,
80', Tejon M. ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
80', Cruz M. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
86', Xavi Grande 🟨,
87', Joao Adriano 🟨,
90+4', Butzke A. ↓, Correia R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).

Recent performances by Oliveirense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marítimo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oliveirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marítimo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.25	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.10.25	Leiria - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLTT
- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
30.10.25	Marítimo - Leiria	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Porto B - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Belenenses - Marítimo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.05.25	Oliveirense - Marítimo	1:1
29.12.24	Marítimo - Oliveirense	1:2
12.05.24	Marítimo - Oliveirense	2:1
06.01.24	Oliveirense - Marítimo	1:1

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