Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)


	Oliveirense		Trofense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.3	3.33	3.34
	2.25	3	3
	2.19	3.32	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.4)	3.16 ↑ (3)	3.09 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
41.4%

Draw
29%

Trofense
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	45.5%	27.3%

Oliveirense - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Trofense will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Oliveirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
21.08.22	Porto B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Vilafranquense - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Oliveirense - Mafra	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Oliveirense - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
09.07.22	Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
20.08.22	Trofense - Vilafranquense	1:3 ✺
15.08.22	Leixões - Trofense	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Trofense - BSAD	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Trofense - Boavista	1:2 ✺
16.07.22	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.02.15	Oliveirense - Trofense	3:1
24.08.14	Trofense - Oliveirense	0:1
27.04.14	Trofense - Oliveirense	3:0
07.12.13	Oliveirense - Trofense	1:2
30.03.13	Oliveirense - Trofense	0:0
04.11.12	Trofense - Oliveirense	1:1

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