Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes (Vila Nova de Gaia)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Porto Canal


	Porto B		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.4
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	2.02	3.35	3.45
	2.09	3.59	3.47
	2.03	3.64	3.39	Watch
	2	3.25	3.25
	2	3.35	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.03)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
45.8%

Draw
27.3%

Oliveirense
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	26.3%	10.5%

Porto B - Oliveirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto B: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto B (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Costa J. (C) 76. Rodrigues D. 73. Bras G. 44. Felipe Silva 80. Henrique Kaio 92. Teixeira J. 88. Andrade D. 56. Kaue Rodrigues 57. Cunha D. 79. Vonic L. 59. Andrade T.	31. Ribeiro R. (C) 13. Santos V. 4. Bura 75. Namora N. 19. Lopes A. 90. Brito T. 14. Pereira D. 7. Joao Adriano 8. Ondoa F. 10. Bruno Silva 88. Rodriguez Y.
Substitutes
64. Gomes L. 66. Lima B. 43. Melnichenko T. 89. Mide M. 68. Oliveira A. 54. Ribeiro A. 91. Ribeiro G. (G) 58. Silva T. 49. Sousa G.	26. Bastos L. 16. Diallo A. 40. Greis N. (G) 23. Gustavao 11. Joanderson 17. Lucas Henrique 3. Mateus Raniel 80. Onohara K. 99. Sabino
Coaches
Brandao J.	Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Andrade T. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
62', Lopes A. 🟨,
63', Vonic L. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
63', Kaue Rodrigues ↓, Mide M. ↑,
65', Brito T. ↓, Sabino ↑,
65', Joao Adriano ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
71', Pereira D. 🟨,
82', Teixeira J. ↓, Lima B. ↑,
82', Cunha D. ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,
83', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
83', Ondoa F. ↓, Onohara K. ↑,
90+4', Ribeiro R. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 1.

Porto B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oliveirense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Porto B could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
08.03.26	Marítimo - Porto B	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Torreense - Porto B	0:3 ✺
23.02.26	Porto B - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Leiria - Porto B	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LWWTW
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
07.03.26	Oliveirense - Torreense	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Oliveirense - Leiria	2:4 ✺
14.02.26	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Oliveirense - Vizela	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.25	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:0
13.04.25	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:1
01.12.24	Porto B - Oliveirense	2:1
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Oliveirense - Porto B	3:1
Portuguese Liga 2
14.04.24	Porto B - Oliveirense	0:1
02.12.23	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:3
12.02.23	Oliveirense - Porto B	2:1

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