Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 30

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Olivenza		Villafranca

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.7	1.88
	3.83	3.58	1.79
	3.35	3.7	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (4.07)	3.66 ↓ (3.83)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
25.9%

Draw
24.9%

Villafranca
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

23.9%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.5%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villafranca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olivenza - Villafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Yaw L. J. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Ramos D. ⚽,
16', 1 - 2, Ibrahim K. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Pitu ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', 2 - 3, Amaya Gomez R. ⚽,
53', 2 - 4, Yaw L. J. ⚽,
58', 2 - 5, Amaya Gomez R. ⚽,
60', 3 - 5, Quique Roldan ⚽,
73', 3 - 6, Machado G. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Villafranca is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.04.25	Moralo - Olivenza	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Olivenza - Diocesano	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Azuaga - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Olivenza - Castuera	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Trujillo - Olivenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LTLWT
- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.04.25	Villafranca - Jerez	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Santa Amalia - Villafranca	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Villafranca - Calamonte	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Montijo - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Badajoz - Villafranca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.12.24	Villafranca - Olivenza	2:0
11.02.24	Villafranca - Olivenza	2:0
01.10.23	Olivenza - Villafranca	0:0
04.03.23	Olivenza - Villafranca	1:0
30.10.22	Villafranca - Olivenza	0:2
19.01.22	Olivenza - Villafranca	1:0

Olivenza - Villafranca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide