Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 19Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday
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Montijo |
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Villafranca |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.72 |
3.45 |
4.15 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.47 |
4.24 |
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1.76 |
3.52 |
4.25 |
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1.75 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
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1.74 |
3.38 |
4.34 |
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1.76 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↑ (1.64) |
3.42 ↓ (3.5) |
4.23 ↓ (4.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montijo 51.9% | Draw 26.6% | Villafranca 21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Montijo - Villafranca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, Quintero J ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).In recent matches, Montijo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Villafranca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Montijo is a strong favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Montijo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
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| 15 | Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;