Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday


	Olympiacos Piraeus		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.3
	1.92	3.5	3.3
	1.92	3.55	3.35
	1.95	3.53	3.23
	1.99	3.72	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.27)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	3.33 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
47.1%

Draw
25.6%

AZ Alkmaar
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

25.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

26%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympiacos Piraeus's performance.

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympiacos Piraeus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Olympiacos Piraeus - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). AZ will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Olympiacos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AZ is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Olympiacos have a series of guest games.

Recently AZ have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:1 ✺
01.07.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:1 ✺
29.06.22	Slavia Prague - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
27.06.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
25.06.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTTW
- AZ Alkmaar
Club Friendly
06.07.22	AZ Alkmaar - PAOK	2:2 ✺
02.07.22	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
29.05.22	AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse	6:1 ✺
26.05.22	Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
22.05.22	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWLW

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