Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	U-NEXT
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	AZ Alkmaar		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.2	4.1	Watch
	1.68	4.33	4.33
	1.8	4.1	3.9
	1.69	4.5	4.48
	1.72	4.4	4.1	Watch
	1.73	3.9	3.9
	1.77	4.17	4.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.88)	4.23 ↑ (3.7)	4.15 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
54.7%

Draw
22.4%

Heerenveen
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

27%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Heerenveen (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 26. Smit K. 17. Jensen I. 10. Mijnans S. 27. Daal R. 9. Parrott T.	22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 19. Zagaritis V. 16. Linday M. 6. van Overeem J. (C) 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 7. Rivera M. 18. Nordas L.
Substitutes
20. Boogaard K. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 18. Ichihara R. 2. Maikuma S. 35. Meerdink M. 24. Oufkir A. 11. Sadiq I. 33. Sin M. 23. van Duijl B. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 7. Weslley Patati 41. Zoet J. (G)	35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 8. Brouwers L. 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 38. Mulder I. 11. Oyen L. 28. Petrov H. 30. Schreuder T. (G) 9. Vente D.
Coaches
Echteld L.	Veldman R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽,
42', Braude O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Clasie J. ↓, Boogaard K. ↑,
46', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
55', de Wit M. 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
75', de Wit M. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
75', Daal R. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
76', Zagaritis V. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
76', Meerveld R. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
80', Rivera M. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
80', Willemsen M. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
83', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
83', Smit K. ↓, Sin M. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 2.

Recent performances by AZ have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heerenveen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Heerenveen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, AZ is the team to beat.

There will not play in AZ: Hornkamp J. (Injury) Kasius D. (Injury) Koopmeiners P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heerenveen: Vente D. (Inactive) van Axel Dongen A. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 51:27. (average 2.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 3.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
05.04.26	Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Heerenveen - Telstar	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Excelsior - Heerenveen	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.25	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	3:1
22.05.25	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	4:1
02.03.25	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	3:1
14.09.24	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	9:1
28.01.24	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	2:2
21.10.23	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	3:0
01.04.23	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	1:1

Upcoming Matches