Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 3

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Netherlands	ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
Slovakia	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Triller TV


	AZ Alkmaar		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.34	5.4	8.3
	1.32	5.95	8.78
	1.69	3.07	6.81	Watch
	1.35	5.47	8.4	Watch
	1.25	5.6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.29)	5.17 ↓ (5.5)	8.63 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
70.2%

Draw
18.7%

Zwolle
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

16.8%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	4.3%	4.3%

AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - AZ (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - AZ (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - AZ (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AZ Alkmaar will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AZ Alkmaar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 26. Smit K. 6. Koopmeiners P. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 7. Weslley Patati 35. Meerdink M. 27. Daal R.	16. de Graaff T. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 25. Oosting T. 30. Thomas R. (C) 8. Buurmeester Z. 19. Faberski J. 10. Kostons K. 22. de Rooij K.
Substitutes
15. Chavez Garcia M. 8. Clasie J. 4. Dekker M. 22. Dijkstra E. 17. Jensen I. 21. Kwakman D. 11. Sadiq I. 33. Sin M. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 25. Zeefuik L. 41. Zoet J. (G)	29. Buitink T. 41. Dobben N. (G) 6. Gooijer T. 21. Lagsir S. 11. Mbayo D. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 38. Rahajaan B. 20. Reiziger G. 7. Shoretire S. 40. Verduin D. (G) 39. Voute D.
Coaches
Martens M.	Van Der Vegt H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
29', Aertssen O. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Smit K. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Kostons K. ⚽, Faberski J. (A),
45+1', Smit K. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 1, Weslley Patati ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,
47', 2 - 2, Kostons K. ⚽, Oosting T. (A),
59', Thomas R. ↓, Voute D. ↑,
66', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Clasie J. ↑,
67', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
67', Aertssen O. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
79', Faberski J. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
79', Oosting T. ↓, Gooijer T. ↑,
82', Gooijer T. 🟨,
85', Smit K. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
85', Weslley Patati ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4.

AZ has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zwolle's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Zwolle: Monteiro J. (Red Card) Schendelaar J. (Knee Injury) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: Maikuma S. (Knee Injury)

We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:15. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:10. (average 2.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
14.09.25	Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia	4:1 ✺
21.08.25	Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWW
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.25	Zwolle - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Ajax - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Zwolle - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.08.25	Telstar - Zwolle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
09.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:0
20.09.24	Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar	1:2
20.01.24	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:2
24.09.23	Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar	0:3
Club Friendly
02.07.22	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
10.04.22	Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar	2:1
30.10.21	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	3:2

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