Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 4

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Sport Extra
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Vitesse		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.43
	2.73	3.6	2.39
	2.9	3.68	2.43
	2.62	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.81	3.68	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.69)	3.59 ↓ (3.98)	2.38 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitesse
34.1%

Draw
26.3%

AZ Alkmaar
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

23.7%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

23.1%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitesse's performance.

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitesse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44%	16%	40%

Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 11 - 44%). AZ will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 2. Arcus C. 6. Oroz D. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. 5. Mica Pinto 20. Meulensteen M. 21. Tielemans M. 17. Kozlowski K. 8. van Ginkel M. (C) 42. Manhoef M. 10. Hamulic S.	1. Ryan M. (G) 2. Sugawara Y. 25. Bazoer R. 5. Penetra 18. Wolfe D. 8. Clasie J. (C) 16. Mijnans S. 21. Poku E. 10. de Wit D. 19. van Brederode M. 9. Pavlidis V.
Substitutes
44. Altena J. 7. Boutrah A. 55. Bramel T. (G) 13. Cornelisse E. 56. Egbring M. 15. Hendriks R. 26. Jonathans M. 31. Schubert M. (G) 43. Van Zwam G. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.	6. Dantas T. 31. Deen D. (G) 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 28. Goudmijn K. 30. Kasius D. 14. Mihailovic D. 7. Odgaard J. 15. van Bommel R. 12. Verhulst H. (G)
Coaches
Cocu P.	Jansen P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 1.

Recent matches Vitesse is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AZ is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

AZ will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 30-46.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
19.08.23	Vitesse - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
11.08.23	Volendam - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Getafe - Vitesse	4:1 ✺
01.08.23	Vitesse - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:2 ✺
28.07.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTT
- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	Brann - AZ Alkmaar	3:4 penalties ✺
24.08.23	AZ Alkmaar - Brann	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.08.23	Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	AZ Alkmaar - FC Santa Coloma	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.08.23	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
03.03.23	Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar	0:1
07.01.23	AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse	1:1
29.05.22	AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse	6:1
26.05.22	Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar	2:1
02.04.22	AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse	3:1
28.11.21	Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar	0:0
07.03.21	Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar	2:1

Upcoming Matches